La Liga | Gameweek 8
Sep 30, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Girona0 - 3Real Madrid
FT(HT: 0-2)
The Match
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's La Liga clash between Girona and Real Madrid.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Girona and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Saturday's La Liga clash with Girona.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Girona.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Villarreal 1-2 Girona
Wednesday, September 27 at 6pm in La Liga
Wednesday, September 27 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-0 Las Palmas
Wednesday, September 27 at 6pm in La Liga
Wednesday, September 27 at 6pm in La Liga
We said: Girona 2-2 Real Madrid
This is a very, very difficult match to call, and we changed our minds a couple of times before settling on a draw. Real Madrid are the favourites, but Girona's form has been excellent this season, and the Catalan side have also enjoyed their recent meetings with the capital giants, so the spoils could be shared here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Girona had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-0 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Real Madrid |
30.69% ( 0.54) | 25.34% ( 0.22) | 43.97% ( -0.76) |
| Both teams to score 54.89% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
