Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 38.1%. A win for Granada had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Granada win was 1-0 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Granada | Draw | Las Palmas |
35.02% ( -2.24) | 26.88% ( 0.22) | 38.1% ( 2.02) |
Both teams to score 51.22% ( -0.78) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.05% ( -0.95) | 53.95% ( 0.95) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.6% ( -0.8) | 75.39% ( 0.8) |
Granada Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.65% ( -1.8) | 29.35% ( 1.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.67% ( -2.27) | 65.33% ( 2.27) |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.5% ( 0.73) | 27.5% ( -0.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37% ( 0.94) | 63% ( -0.93) |
Score Analysis |
Granada | Draw | Las Palmas |
1-0 @ 9.9% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.35) 2-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.4) 3-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.31) 3-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.3) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.5% Total : 35.02% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.88% | 0-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.58) 1-2 @ 8.25% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.51) 1-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.17) 0-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.27) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.02% Total : 38.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
6 | Villarreal | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 11 |
> La Liga Full Table |