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La Liga | Gameweek 18
Dec 19, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes
Sevilla logo

Granada
0 - 3
Sevilla


Gumbau (38'), Torrente (57')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Pedrosa (23'), Ocampos (32'), Ramos (49')
Bueno (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Granada and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Granada

All competitions
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-0 Granada
Saturday, December 16 at 1pm in La Liga

Sevilla

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 0-3 Getafe
Saturday, December 16 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Granada 1-1 Sevilla

 This is such a difficult match to call, as both sides have had very tough campaigns to date. Sevilla are in crisis mode, but Granada have only won once in the league this season, so it is difficult to back them, which has led to us predicting a low-scoring draw on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for Granada had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Granada win was 1-0 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.

Result
GranadaDrawSevilla
30.55% (-0.126 -0.13) 25.25% (0.058 0.06) 44.2% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Both teams to score 55.13% (-0.257 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.69% (-0.304 -0.3)48.31% (0.304 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.55% (-0.278 -0.28)70.45% (0.277 0.28)
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.53% (-0.241 -0.24)29.46% (0.24 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.53% (-0.293 -0.29)65.47% (0.29300000000001 0.29)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.16% (-0.097000000000008 -0.1)21.84% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.93% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)55.07% (0.146 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Granada 30.55%
    Sevilla 44.2%
    Draw 25.25%
GranadaDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 7.86% (0.047 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.31% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.98% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.96% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.91% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 30.55%
1-1 @ 11.96% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.44% (0.079999999999999 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 9.79% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
1-2 @ 9.1% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 7.45% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 4.62% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.78% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.82% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.76% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.44% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 44.2%

How you voted: Granada vs Sevilla

Granada
21.3%
Draw
27.9%
Sevilla
50.8%
61
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 31
Sevilla
4-2
Granada
Carlos (32'), Ocampos (66'), Mir (90+3'), Papu (90+9')
Jordan (57'), Mir (78')
Machis (23'), Diaz (88')
Brice Eteki (42'), Suarez Charris (76')
> Preview
Oct 3, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 8
Granada
1-0
Sevilla
Rochina (25')
Gonalons (28'), Quini (75'), Suarez Charris (90+1')

Carlos (73'), Acuna (75'), Ocampos (90+3')
Carlos (90+1')
> Preview
Apr 25, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 32
Sevilla
2-1
Granada
Rakitic (16' pen.), Ocampos (53'), Soldado (90' pen.)
Kenedy (34'), Puertas (67'), Montoro (87'), Acuna (90'), Kounde (90+2')
> Preview
Oct 17, 2020 12pm
Gameweek 6
Granada
1-0
Sevilla
Herrera (82')
Gonalons (30'), Foulquier (40'), Martinez Penas (65'), Puertas (71'), Vico (85')

Fernando (10'), Jordan (45+3'), Vazquez (90+1')
Jordan (45+4')
> Preview
Jan 25, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 21
Sevilla
2-0
Granada
De Jong (11'), Nolito (34')
Vazquez (13'), Carlos (14'), Fernando (25'), Gomez (82')

Puertas (31')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
> La Liga Full Table


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