Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Las Palmas | Draw | Villarreal |
35.25% ( 0.51) | 24.89% ( 0.11) | 39.87% ( -0.62) |
Both teams to score 57.98% ( -0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.71% ( -0.43) | 45.29% ( 0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.37% ( -0.41) | 67.63% ( 0.4) |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.93% ( 0.09) | 25.07% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.24% ( 0.13) | 59.75% ( -0.13) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.38% ( -0.5) | 22.62% ( 0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.76% ( -0.74) | 56.23% ( 0.73) |
Score Analysis |
Las Palmas | Draw | Villarreal |
2-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 3.72% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.68% Total : 35.25% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.89% | 1-2 @ 8.67% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 4.29% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.28% Total : 39.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 46 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 44 |
3 | Barcelona | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 39 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 39 |
5 | Villarreal | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 31 | 7 | 33 |
6 | Mallorca | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 26 |
10 | Osasuna | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 26 |
11 | Sevilla | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
12 | Real BetisBetis | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 24 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
16 | Getafe | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 20 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
18 | Espanyol | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 19 |
19 | Valencia | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |