Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 47.67%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Las Palmas |
47.67% ( 3.17) | 24.41% ( -0.09) | 27.92% ( -3.08) |
Both teams to score 56.28% ( -1.63) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.95% ( -1.27) | 46.05% ( 1.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.65% ( -1.21) | 68.35% ( 1.21) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.59% ( 0.83) | 19.41% ( -0.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.77% ( 1.35) | 51.23% ( -1.35) |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.83% ( -2.77) | 30.17% ( 2.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.67% ( -3.45) | 66.33% ( 3.45) |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Las Palmas |
1-0 @ 9.6% ( 0.74) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.79) 3-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.28) 3-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.53) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.26) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.08% Total : 47.67% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.28) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.4% | 0-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.53) 0-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.44) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.45) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.3) 0-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.33) Other @ 3.13% Total : 27.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 46 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 44 |
3 | Barcelona | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 39 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 39 |
5 | Villarreal | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 31 | 7 | 33 |
6 | Mallorca | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 26 |
10 | Osasuna | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 26 |
11 | Sevilla | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
12 | Real BetisBetis | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 24 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
16 | Getafe | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 20 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
18 | Espanyol | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 19 |
19 | Valencia | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |