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La Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 8, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
Las Palmas

Villarreal
1 - 2
Las Palmas

Moreno (90+2')
Pino (45+1'), Parejo (68'), Capoue (90+10'), Akhomach (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coco (45+2'), Cardona (51' pen.)
Park (68'), Rodriguez (72'), Kaba (90+5'), Cardona (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Las Palmas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Villarreal 1-0 Rennes
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Las Palmas 2-1 Celta Vigo
Monday, October 2 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Villarreal 2-1 Las Palmas

While Villarreal are yet to hit the ground running in La Liga this term, they should fancy themselves to get past a competitive Las Palmas team at the Estadio de la Ceramica. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 47.67%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
VillarrealDrawLas Palmas
47.67% (3.174 3.17) 24.41% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09) 27.92% (-3.078 -3.08)
Both teams to score 56.28% (-1.628 -1.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.95% (-1.268 -1.27)46.05% (1.272 1.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.65% (-1.211 -1.21)68.35% (1.214 1.21)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.59% (0.834 0.83)19.41% (-0.832 -0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.77% (1.349 1.35)51.23% (-1.346 -1.35)
Las Palmas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.83% (-2.77 -2.77)30.17% (2.773 2.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.67% (-3.451 -3.45)66.33% (3.454 3.45)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 47.67%
    Las Palmas 27.93%
    Draw 24.4%
VillarrealDrawLas Palmas
1-0 @ 9.6% (0.741 0.74)
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.268 0.27)
2-0 @ 7.87% (0.794 0.79)
3-1 @ 5.15% (0.276 0.28)
3-0 @ 4.3% (0.533 0.53)
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.11% (0.165 0.17)
4-0 @ 1.76% (0.258 0.26)
4-2 @ 1.27% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 47.67%
1-1 @ 11.5% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.86% (0.31 0.31)
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.28 -0.28)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.13 -0.13)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.4%
0-1 @ 7.02% (-0.164 -0.16)
1-2 @ 6.89% (-0.532 -0.53)
0-2 @ 4.2% (-0.444 -0.44)
1-3 @ 2.75% (-0.451 -0.45)
2-3 @ 2.26% (-0.302 -0.3)
0-3 @ 1.68% (-0.326 -0.33)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 27.93%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Las Palmas

Villarreal
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
Las Palmas
0.0%
42
Head to Head
Mar 11, 2018 5.30pm
Las Palmas
0-2
Villarreal

Navarro (61')
Galvez (90')
Bacca (67'), Sansone (90' pen.)
Costa (17')
Oct 22, 2017 11am
Villarreal
4-0
Las Palmas
Bakambu (48'), Gaspar (65'), Navarro (67' og.), Sansone (90')
Ruiz (30')

Lemos (24'), Gomez (40'), Navarro (73'), Viera (75'), Macedo (86')
Mar 17, 2017 7.45pm
Las Palmas
1-0
Villarreal
Boateng (10')
Viera (70'), Lemos (74')

Musacchio (23'), Costa (76')
Ruiz (19')
Oct 23, 2016 5.30pm
Villarreal
2-1
Las Palmas
Sansone (64' pen.), Bakambu (92')
Bakambu (49'), Soriano (56')
Boateng (31')
Mesa (63'), Boateng (79'), Tyronne (87'), Garcia (90')
Mar 5, 2016 5.15pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Barcelona19122551222938
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Mallorca199371921-230
6Villarreal177642928127
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Osasuna186752327-425
10Celta Vigo187382728-124
11Real BetisBetis176652021-124
12Sevilla176471823-522
13Rayo Vallecano175661920-121
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe183781115-416
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1743101629-1315
19Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
20Valencia162591424-1011


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