La Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 24, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Rayo Vallecano1 - 1Villarreal
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-0 Alaves
Friday, September 15 at 8pm in La Liga
Friday, September 15 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Panathinaikos 2-0 Villarreal
Thursday, September 21 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Thursday, September 21 at 5.45pm in Europa League
We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Villarreal
Rayo will certainly be the fresher outfit, but the majority of the players that started for Villarreal on Thursday will not be in their XI for this match. We actually fancy a low-scoring draw in this contest, which would not be the worst result in the world for either team. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 37.25%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 36.76% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Villarreal |
36.76% ( 1.16) | 25.98% ( 0.23) | 37.25% ( -1.39) |
| Both teams to score 54.31% ( -0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.92% ( -0.95) | 50.07% ( 0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.95% ( -0.86) | 72.05% ( 0.85) |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.55% ( 0.22) | 26.44% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.38% ( 0.29) | 61.61% ( -0.29) |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.83% ( -1.21) | 26.16% ( 1.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.75% ( -1.65) | 61.24% ( 1.64) |
| Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano 36.76%
Villarreal 37.25%
Draw 25.97%
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Villarreal |
| 1-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.31)3-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.33% Total : 36.76% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.22)0-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.38% Total : 37.25% |
How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano
40.7%Draw
45.8%Villarreal
13.6%59
Head to Head
Jan 30, 2023 8pm
Jan 29, 2020 6pm
Form Guide
