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Las Palmas
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La Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 24, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Villarreal logo

Rayo Vallecano
1 - 1
Villarreal

Perez (16')
Garcia (18'), Camello (63')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sorloth (15')
Moreno (62'), Comesana (73')
Moreno (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Panathinaikos 2-0 Villarreal
Thursday, September 21 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Villarreal

Rayo will certainly be the fresher outfit, but the majority of the players that started for Villarreal on Thursday will not be in their XI for this match. We actually fancy a low-scoring draw in this contest, which would not be the worst result in the world for either team. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 37.25%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 36.76% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawVillarreal
36.76% (1.156 1.16) 25.98% (0.233 0.23) 37.25% (-1.389 -1.39)
Both teams to score 54.31% (-0.722 -0.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.92% (-0.954 -0.95)50.07% (0.952 0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.95% (-0.856 -0.86)72.05% (0.85300000000001 0.85)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.55% (0.21899999999999 0.22)26.44% (-0.22 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.38% (0.29 0.29)61.61% (-0.294 -0.29)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.83% (-1.206 -1.21)26.16% (1.203 1.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.75% (-1.645 -1.65)61.24% (1.642 1.64)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 36.76%
    Villarreal 37.25%
    Draw 25.97%
Rayo VallecanoDrawVillarreal
1-0 @ 9.2% (0.406 0.41)
2-1 @ 8.21% (0.137 0.14)
2-0 @ 6.12% (0.306 0.31)
3-1 @ 3.64% (0.083 0.08)
3-0 @ 2.71% (0.152 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.21% (0.035 0.03)
4-0 @ 0.9% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 36.76%
1-1 @ 12.33% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 6.92% (0.263 0.26)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 9.28% (0.039 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.27% (-0.201 -0.2)
0-2 @ 6.22% (-0.191 -0.19)
1-3 @ 3.7% (-0.223 -0.22)
0-3 @ 2.78% (-0.186 -0.19)
2-3 @ 2.46% (-0.132 -0.13)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-4 @ 0.93% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 37.25%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal

Rayo Vallecano
Draw
Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano
40.7%
Draw
45.8%
Villarreal
13.6%
59
Head to Head
May 28, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 37
Rayo Vallecano
2-1
Villarreal
De Tomas (56'), Isi (63')
Valentin (65'), de Tomas (68'), Catena (90+4')
Lo Celso (83')
Parejo (40'), Pedraza (59'), Lo Celso (70'), Jackson (90+4')
Jan 30, 2023 8pm
May 12, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 36
Rayo Vallecano
1-5
Villarreal
Guardiola (21')
Maras (30'), Garcia (45+2'), Comesana (45+2'), Lopez (76'), Sylla (77')
Pedraza (3', 88'), Foyth (27'), Alcacer (38'), Torres (45+1')
Emery (61'), Rulli (61'), Albiol (82')
Dec 12, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 17
Villarreal
2-0
Rayo Vallecano
Mandi (32'), Moreno (36' pen.)
Torres (23')

Catena (37'), Isi (38'), Garcia (61')
Jan 29, 2020 6pm
Round of 16
Rayo Vallecano
0-2
Villarreal

Milic (28')
Nino (84'), Cazorla (85')
Funes Mori (25'), Cazorla (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid28186459273260
2Barcelona26183571254657
3Atletico MadridAtletico27168344182656
4Athletic Bilbao281410446242252
5Villarreal27128749381144
6Real BetisBetis2812883835344
7Mallorca28117102834-640
8Celta Vigo28116114141039
9Rayo Vallecano279992929036
10Sevilla2899103237-536
11GironaGirona2897123641-534
12Real Sociedad27104132328-534
13Getafe2789102322133
14Osasuna2671273237-533
15Espanyol2777132639-1328
16Valencia28610123146-1528
17AlavesAlaves2869133242-1027
18Leganes2869132643-1727
19Las PalmasLas Palmas2867153247-1525
20Real ValladolidValladolid2844201863-4516


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