Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.8%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 1-0 (11.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Betis | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
33.84% ( -0.27) | 28.56% ( 0.1) | 37.6% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 46.01% ( -0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.62% ( -0.39) | 60.38% ( 0.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.47% ( -0.3) | 80.53% ( 0.3) |
Real Betis Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.63% ( -0.39) | 33.37% ( 0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.01% ( -0.43) | 69.99% ( 0.43) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.06% ( -0.09) | 30.94% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.76% ( -0.11) | 67.24% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Real Betis | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.49% Total : 33.84% | 1-1 @ 13.29% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.32% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.55% | 0-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.11% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.08% Total : 37.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
6 | Villarreal | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 11 |
> La Liga Full Table |