Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.