Atletico1 - 0Mallorca
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, November 12 at 8pm in La Liga
We said: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Mallorca
Mallorca are capable of making this a tricky match, with the visitors drawing half of their league games this season. Atletico are so strong at home, though, and we are expecting them to record their 10th league victory of the campaign this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 71.27%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 10.98%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Mallorca |
71.27% ( 0.03) | 17.75% ( -0.01) | 10.98% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 47.14% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.47% ( -0.04) | 42.53% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.07% ( -0.04) | 64.93% ( 0.05) |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.36% ( -0) | 10.64% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 65.53% ( -0.01) | 34.47% ( 0.01) |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.75% ( -0.08) | 47.24% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.33% ( -0.06) | 82.67% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Mallorca |
| 2-0 @ 12.61% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 11.26% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0)3-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.07% ( -0)4-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.96% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.37% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.77% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.92% Total : 71.26% | 1-1 @ 8.44% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.74% Total : 17.75% | 0-1 @ 3.77% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.41% ( -0)Other @ 2.63% Total : 10.98% |
