Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
32.83% ( 0.01) | 27.26% ( -0.01) | 39.91% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 49.64% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.23% ( 0.05) | 55.77% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.1% ( 0.04) | 76.9% ( -0.04) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.31% ( 0.03) | 31.69% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.9% ( 0.03) | 68.1% ( -0.04) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.66% ( 0.02) | 27.34% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.2% ( 0.03) | 62.79% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 9.96% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.42% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.72% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.84% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.19% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 32.83% | 1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.26% | 0-1 @ 11.23% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.37% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.29% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.62% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.15% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 39.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
14 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |