Champions League | Group Stage
Sep 19, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Lazio1 - 1Atletico
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Juventus 3-1 Lazio
Saturday, September 16 at 2pm in Serie A
Saturday, September 16 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Valencia 3-0 Atletico
Saturday, September 16 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Saturday, September 16 at 3.15pm in La Liga
We said: Lazio 1-2 Atletico Madrid
Both teams have suffered tough defeats following the international period, so confidence will not be sky-high in either camp. Lazio's sluggish start to the new season has come as something of a surprise, but their defensive instability could see Atletico sneak a valuable first-day away win. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 42.64%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
42.64% ( -0.21) | 27.62% ( 0.04) | 29.74% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 47.49% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
