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La Liga
Osauna logo
La Liga | Gameweek 7
Sep 28, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio El Sadar (Pamplona (Irunea))
Atletico Madrid logo

Osasuna
0 - 2
Atletico


Catena (54'), Oroz (76'), Fernandez (90')
Arrasate (78'), Avila (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Griezmann (20'), Riquelme (81')
Morata (84')
Morata (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Osasuna

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 0-0 Sevilla
Saturday, September 23 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 3-1 Real Madrid
Sunday, September 24 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Osasuna 0-2 Atletico Madrid

 Atletico Madrid will be considered firm favourites to win on Thursday and have every reason to feel confident of securing maximum points against an Osasuna side who are yet to find their groove in the early stages of this season. Only Barcelona and Girona (both 16) have scored more La Liga goals that Atletico (13) so far this term, and we expect their in-form attackers to have more joy in the final third at Estadio El Sadar. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.

Result
OsasunaDrawAtletico Madrid
29.49% (0.473 0.47) 27.17% (0.208 0.21) 43.34% (-0.682 -0.68)
Both teams to score 48.63% (-0.354 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.55% (-0.575 -0.57)56.45% (0.573 0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.55% (-0.465 -0.47)77.45% (0.46299999999999 0.46)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.57% (0.057000000000002 0.06)34.43% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.86% (0.059000000000001 0.06)71.14% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.17% (-0.607 -0.61)25.82% (0.605 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.21% (-0.828 -0.83)60.79% (0.825 0.82)
Score Analysis
    Osasuna 29.49%
    Atletico Madrid 43.33%
    Draw 27.17%
OsasunaDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 9.48% (0.221 0.22)
2-1 @ 6.84% (0.053 0.05)
2-0 @ 5.05% (0.126 0.13)
3-1 @ 2.43% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.8% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.65% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 29.49%
1-1 @ 12.83% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 8.89% (0.194 0.19)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.17%
0-1 @ 12.03% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.69% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-2 @ 8.15% (-0.104 -0.1)
1-3 @ 3.92% (-0.113 -0.11)
0-3 @ 3.68% (-0.113 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.33% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.25% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 43.33%

How you voted: Osasuna vs Atletico

Osasuna
11.0%
Draw
11.0%
Atletico Madrid
77.9%
145
Head to Head
May 21, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 35
Atletico
3-0
Osasuna
Carrasco (44'), Niguez (62'), Correa (82')

Budimir (28'), Pena (65')
> Preview
Jan 29, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 19
Osasuna
0-1
Atletico
Niguez (74')
> Preview
Feb 19, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 25
Osasuna
0-3
Atletico

Avila (34')
Felix (3'), Suarez (59'), Correa (89')
Vrsaljko (54'), Serrano (90')
> Preview
Nov 20, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 14
Atletico
1-0
Osasuna
Felipe (87')
Griezmann (45'), Martin (89')

Torro (56'), Garcia (82')
> Preview
May 16, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 37
Atletico
2-1
Osasuna
Lodi (82'), Suarez (88')
Suarez (89')
Budimir (75')
Budimir (76'), Brasanac (84')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
> La Liga Full Table


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