La Liga | Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2023 at 4pm UK
Estadio de Balaidos
Celta Vigo0 - 2Osasuna
We said: Celta Vigo 1-1 Osasuna
It is always difficult to know exactly what to expect on the opening weekend of the new season, and this is a match that could easily produce a home or indeed an away victory. It is likely to be somewhat of a cagey affair, though, and we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 51.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Osasuna |
51.62% ( -1.36) | 25.88% ( 0.65) | 22.5% ( 0.72) |
| Both teams to score 46.65% ( -0.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.81% ( -1.67) | 56.19% ( 1.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.76% ( -1.37) | 77.24% ( 1.38) |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.17% ( -1.25) | 21.83% ( 1.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.95% ( -1.94) | 55.06% ( 1.95) |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.68% ( -0.23) | 40.32% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.05% ( -0.21) | 76.95% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo 51.61%
Osasuna 22.5%
Draw 25.87%
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Osasuna |
| 1-0 @ 13.39% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 10.19% ( -0.12)2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.26)3-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.27)3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.18)Other @ 3.02% Total : 51.61% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.55)2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.71% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 8% ( 0.46) 1-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.3% Total : 22.5% |
How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Osasuna
Celta Vigo
55.8%Draw
32.6%Osasuna
11.6%43
Form Guide
