Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Osasuna 1-0 Athletic Bilbao
Wednesday, March 1 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Wednesday, March 1 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Celta Vigo 3-0 Valladolid
Sunday, February 26 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Sunday, February 26 at 3.15pm in La Liga
We said: Osasuna 1-1 Celta Vigo
Osasuna have not actually drawn a single home match in La Liga this season, winning six and losing five of their 11 games, but we have a feeling that the points could be shared here. The hosts will enter the match off the back of successive wins, but Celta were excellent against Real Valladolid, so a draw could be on the cards. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 37.71%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Celta Vigo |
35.42% ( 0.04) | 26.86% ( 0.01) | 37.71% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 51.32% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
