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La Liga | Gameweek 37
May 28, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
Celta Vigo logo

Cadiz
1 - 0
Celta Vigo

Sobrino (53')
Lozano (10'), Sobrino (27'), Bongonda (39'), Hernandez (59'), Guardiola (60'), Alcaraz (62'), Alejo (76'), Escalante (90'), Fede (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Galan (16'), Nunez (45'), de la Torre (48'), Oscar (60'), Solari (63'), Aspas (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Cadiz and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Villarreal 2-0 Cadiz
Wednesday, May 24 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-1 Girona
Tuesday, May 23 at 6.30pm in La Liga

We said: Cadiz 1-1 Celta Vigo

Celta do not win often on the road, especially at this venue, and Cadiz are tricky to beat on home soil, losing just three times here in 2023. With a close encounter expected, both sides are set for a final day scrap to survive next weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 34.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cadiz in this match.

Result
CadizDrawCelta Vigo
38.71% (-0.518 -0.52) 27.24% (0.105 0.11) 34.06% (0.415 0.41)
Both teams to score 49.97% (-0.246 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.53% (-0.344 -0.34)55.47% (0.347 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.34% (-0.281 -0.28)76.66% (0.285 0.28)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.12% (-0.45699999999999 -0.46)27.88% (0.459 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.51% (-0.586 -0.59)63.49% (0.59 0.59)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.28% (0.097999999999999 0.1)30.72% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.03% (0.117 0.12)66.97% (-0.114 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Cadiz 38.7%
    Celta Vigo 34.05%
    Draw 27.24%
CadizDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 10.93%
2-1 @ 8.25% (-0.081000000000001 -0.08)
2-0 @ 6.99% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.51% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.97% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.07% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 0.95% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 38.7%
1-1 @ 12.91% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.56% (0.115 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.24%
0-1 @ 10.1% (0.153 0.15)
1-2 @ 7.62% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.97% (0.111 0.11)
1-3 @ 3% (0.025 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.35% (0.049 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 34.05%

How you voted: Cadiz vs Celta Vigo

Cadiz
60.9%
Draw
30.4%
Celta Vigo
8.7%
46
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2022 8pm
gameweek 4
Celta Vigo
3-0
Cadiz
Aspas (56', 75'), Oscar (62')
Strand Larsen (78')

Lozano (27'), Zaldua (90+1')
Feb 12, 2022 1pm
gameweek 24
Cadiz
0-0
Celta Vigo

Ledesma (82'), Jonsson (88'), Hernandez (90+4')

Cervi (25'), Galan (52')
Sep 17, 2021 8pm
gameweek 5
Celta Vigo
1-2
Cadiz
Mina (64')
Galhardo (48'), Tapia (74'), Mendez (89')
Lozano (38'), Espino (43')
Sobrino (46'), Haroyan (52'), Alarcon (61')
Apr 18, 2021 5.30pm
Dec 14, 2020 8pm
gameweek 13
Celta Vigo
4-0
Cadiz
Nolito (6'), Aspas (31' pen.), Beltran (43'), Mendez (45+1')
Suarez (54'), Araujo (57')

Mauro (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid20144247202746
2Atletico MadridAtletico20135234132144
3Barcelona20123552232939
4Athletic Bilbao20116331181339
5Villarreal209653831733
6Mallorca209381925-630
7Real Sociedad208481714328
8GironaGirona208482827128
9Rayo Vallecano206862323026
10Osasuna206862429-526
11Sevilla207582329-626
12Real BetisBetis206772226-425
13Celta Vigo2073102932-324
14Las PalmasLas Palmas2064102533-822
15Leganes205781929-1022
16Getafe204881417-320
17AlavesAlaves2055102432-820
18Espanyol2054111932-1319
19Valencia2037101929-1016
20Real ValladolidValladolid2043131439-2515


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