Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 37.75%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.54%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 0-1 (11.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Cadiz |
37.75% | 29.53% | 32.72% |
Both teams to score 43.18% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.24% | 63.76% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.98% | 83.02% |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.43% | 32.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.89% | 69.11% |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.04% | 35.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.27% | 72.73% |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Cadiz |
1-0 @ 13.13% 2-1 @ 7.54% 2-0 @ 7.37% 3-1 @ 2.82% 3-0 @ 2.76% 3-2 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.69% Total : 37.74% | 1-1 @ 13.43% 0-0 @ 11.71% 2-2 @ 3.86% Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.52% | 0-1 @ 11.98% 1-2 @ 6.87% 0-2 @ 6.13% 1-3 @ 2.34% 0-3 @ 2.09% 2-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 2% Total : 32.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
6 | Villarreal | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |