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La Liga | Gameweek 38
Jun 4, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Balaidos
Barcelona logo

Celta Vigo
2 - 1
Barcelona

Veiga (42', 65')
Cervi (82'), Tapia (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Fati (79')
Torres (55'), Raphinha (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Barcelona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Barcelona could line up in Sunday's La Liga clash with Celta Vigo.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Barcelona's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Celta Vigo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cadiz 1-0 Celta Vigo
Sunday, May 28 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 3-0 Mallorca
Sunday, May 28 at 6pm in La Liga

We said: Celta Vigo 1-2 Barcelona

Celta need to win to guarantee their survival, but we are finding it very difficult to back the hosts with any real confidence. Barcelona are under no pressure, but the Catalan outfit have such quality across the field, and we are expecting the champions to end their campaign with a win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 49.43%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 26.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Celta VigoDrawBarcelona
26.29% (0.365 0.37) 24.27% (-0.165 -0.16) 49.43% (-0.2 -0.2)
Both teams to score 55.36% (0.875 0.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.37% (0.998 1)46.63% (-0.998 -1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.1% (0.929 0.93)68.9% (-0.929 -0.93)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.28% (0.822 0.82)31.72% (-0.824 -0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.86% (0.934 0.93)68.14% (-0.935 -0.94)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.08% (0.30799999999999 0.31)18.92% (-0.308 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.58% (0.509 0.51)50.42% (-0.51000000000001 -0.51)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 26.3%
    Barcelona 49.43%
    Draw 24.27%
Celta VigoDrawBarcelona
1-0 @ 6.89% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-1 @ 6.59% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
2-0 @ 3.96% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.52% (0.089 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.1% (0.093 0.09)
3-0 @ 1.51% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 26.3%
1-1 @ 11.47% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 6% (-0.256 -0.26)
2-2 @ 5.48% (0.124 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.27%
0-1 @ 9.99% (-0.319 -0.32)
1-2 @ 9.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 8.32% (-0.188 -0.19)
1-3 @ 5.3% (0.053 0.05)
0-3 @ 4.62% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.04% (0.098 0.1)
1-4 @ 2.21% (0.043 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.92% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.27% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 49.43%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Barcelona

Celta Vigo
27.1%
Draw
12.1%
Barcelona
60.7%
140
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2022 8pm
May 10, 2022 8.30pm
gameweek 36
Barcelona
3-1
Celta Vigo
Depay (30'), Aubameyang (41', 48')
Garcia (80'), de Jong (90+10'), Alba (90+12')
Aspas (50')
Murillo (58')
Nov 6, 2021 3.15pm
gameweek 13
Celta Vigo
3-3
Barcelona
Aspas (52', 90+6'), Nolito (74')
Solari (37'), Tapia (55'), Coudet (64'), Aspas (90+7')
Fati (5'), Busquets (18'), Depay (34')
Garcia (29'), Alba (45+1'), Busquets (88'), ter Stegen (90+3'), Ezzalzouli (90+5'), de Jong (90+5')
May 16, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 37
Barcelona
1-2
Celta Vigo
Messi (28')
Puig (56'), Lenglet (73')
Lenglet (83')
Mina (38', 89')
Dominguez Caceres (51'), Mendez (89')
Oct 1, 2020 8.30pm
gameweek 4
Celta Vigo
0-3
Barcelona

Aidoo (39'), Araujo (48'), Tapia (69'), Murillo (75'), Beltran (90+3')
Fati (11'), Olaza (51' og.), Roberto (90+5')
Lenglet (23'), Pique (42'), Alba (84'), Busquets (87')
Lenglet (42')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid20144247202746
2Atletico MadridAtletico20135234132144
3Barcelona20123552232939
4Athletic Bilbao20116331181339
5Villarreal209653831733
6Mallorca209381925-630
7Real Sociedad208481714328
8GironaGirona208482827128
9Rayo Vallecano206862323026
10Osasuna206862429-526
11Sevilla207582329-626
12Real BetisBetis206772226-425
13Celta Vigo2073102932-324
14Las PalmasLas Palmas2064102533-822
15Leganes205781929-1022
16Getafe204881417-320
17AlavesAlaves2055102432-820
18Espanyol2054111932-1319
19Valencia2037101929-1016
20Real ValladolidValladolid2043131439-2515


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