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La Liga | Gameweek 2
Aug 19, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio El Sadar
Athletic Bilbao logo

Osasuna
0 - 2
Athletic Bilbao


Garcia (59')
Avila (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Williams (11'), Guruzeta (20')
Lekue (38'), Sancet (47'), Ruiz de Galarreta (71'), Simon (90+4')
Sancet (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celta Vigo 0-2 Osasuna
Sunday, August 13 at 4pm in La Liga

We said: Osasuna 1-0 Athletic Bilbao

This has all of the makings of a very interesting match, and there is not an awful lot between the two teams in terms of quality. It would certainly not be a shock to see an away victory here or indeed a draw, but we just have a feeling that Osasuna will use home advantage to claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 36.95%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (11.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
OsasunaDrawAthletic Bilbao
35.02% (-0.147 -0.15) 28.03% (-0.07 -0.07) 36.95% (0.219 0.22)
Both teams to score 47.68% (0.196 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.62% (0.25 0.25)58.38% (-0.246 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.01% (0.195 0.2)78.99% (-0.193 -0.19)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.44% (0.030000000000001 0.03)31.56% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.04% (0.031999999999996 0.03)67.96% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.67% (0.259 0.26)30.33% (-0.256 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.48% (0.308 0.31)66.52% (-0.30499999999999 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Osasuna 35.02%
    Athletic Bilbao 36.95%
    Draw 28.03%
OsasunaDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 11.04% (-0.090000000000002 -0.09)
2-1 @ 7.6% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 6.37% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.92%
3-0 @ 2.45% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.74% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 35.02%
1-1 @ 13.17% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.57% (-0.090000000000002 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.53% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 28.03%
0-1 @ 11.41% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.86% (0.044 0.04)
0-2 @ 6.81% (0.033 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.71% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.8% (0.024 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 36.95%

How you voted: Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao

Osasuna
58.6%
Draw
24.1%
Athletic Bilbao
17.2%
58
Head to Head
May 25, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 36
Osasuna
2-0
Athletic Bilbao
Budimir (50'), Torro (77')
Torro (31'), Budimir (66'), Ibanez (84')

de Marcos (15'), Berenguer (74'), Vivian (76')
Apr 4, 2023 8.10pm
Mar 1, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Osasuna
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Jan 9, 2023 8pm
May 15, 2022 6.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Barcelona19122551222938
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Mallorca199371921-230
6Villarreal177642928127
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Osasuna186752327-425
10Celta Vigo187382728-124
11Real BetisBetis176652021-124
12Sevilla176471823-522
13Rayo Vallecano175661920-121
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe183781115-416
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1743101629-1315
19Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
20Valencia162591424-1011


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