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La Liga | Gameweek 16
Jan 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
San Mamés Barria
Osauna logo

Athletic Bilbao
0 - 0
Osasuna

FT

Budimir (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gimnastic 1-2 Osasuna
Thursday, January 5 at 3pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Osasuna

Osasuna are more than capable of making this a tricky match for Athletic, and we are expecting a close game on Monday night. The Basque outfit have been strong at home this season, though, picking up 16 points from eight matches, and we are backing them to secure a vital three points here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 53.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 21.17%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawOsasuna
53.29% (0.097999999999999 0.1) 25.54% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 21.17% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 45.98% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.78% (0.053999999999995 0.05)56.21% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.73% (0.044 0.04)77.26% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.86% (0.060999999999993 0.06)21.14% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.01% (0.097999999999999 0.1)53.98% (-0.1 -0.1)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.31% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)41.69% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.83% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03)78.17% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 53.28%
    Osasuna 21.17%
    Draw 25.54%
Athletic BilbaoDrawOsasuna
1-0 @ 13.69%
2-0 @ 10.64% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.51% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.82% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.14% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.11% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.87% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 53.28%
1-1 @ 11.98% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.81% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.07% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 25.54%
0-1 @ 7.71% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.24% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.37% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.53% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 0.98% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 21.17%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Osasuna

Athletic Bilbao
76.1%
Draw
15.9%
Osasuna
8.0%
138
Head to Head
May 15, 2022 6.30pm
Jan 3, 2022 8pm
Osasuna
1-3
Athletic Bilbao
Kike (10')
Angel (66'), Arrasate (67'), Torro (76'), Herrera (78'), Avila (90+2')
Avila (90+4')
Sancet (16', 25', 68')
Alvarez (66'), Martinez (90+4')
May 8, 2021 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
2-2
Osasuna
Morcillo (1'), Sancet (62')
Vencedor (50'), Marcelino (71')
Brasanac (12'), Budimir (89')
Torro (26'), Brasanac (90+2')
Oct 24, 2020 5.30pm
Osasuna
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Garcia (81' pen.)
Garcia (16'), Arrasate Elustondo (45'), Sanjurjo (54'), Vidal (63')
Arrasate Elustondo (78')

Alvarez (24'), Garcia (26')
Feb 16, 2020 5.30pm
Athletic Bilbao
0-1
Osasuna

Vencedor (27'), San Jose (33'), Martinez (77'), Aduriz (80')
Sanjurjo (29')
Roncaglia (38'), Sanjurjo (39'), Gallego (48'), Brasanac (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512


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