Conference League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 24, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio El Sadar
Osasuna1 - 2Brugge
FT(HT: 0-0)
Skov Olsen (50'), De Cuyper (80')
Buchanan (45+3'), Onyedika (51'), Thiago (52'), Skov Olsen (67'), Mignolet (88')
Buchanan (45+3'), Onyedika (51'), Thiago (52'), Skov Olsen (67'), Mignolet (88')
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Osasuna 0-2 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, August 19 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Saturday, August 19 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Brugge 7-1 RWDM
Sunday, August 20 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Sunday, August 20 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
We said: Osasuna 1-1 Club Brugge
Club Brugge will be determined to utilise their recent European experience against Osasuna, but having failed to win a competitive game in Spain, we think that they will have to settle for a draw in Thursday's first leg. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 47.51%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 27.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Brugge would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Club Brugge |
27.8% ( -0.25) | 24.69% ( 0.01) | 47.51% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 55.24% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.64% ( -0.21) | 47.36% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.42% ( -0.19) | 69.58% ( 0.19) |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.05% ( -0.29) | 30.95% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.75% ( -0.34) | 67.24% ( 0.35) |
| Club Brugge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80% ( 0.02) | 19.99% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.82% ( 0.03) | 52.18% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
Osasuna 27.8%
Club Brugge 47.51%
Draw 24.69%
| Osasuna | Draw | Club Brugge |
| 1-0 @ 7.26% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.94% Total : 27.8% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.69% | 0-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.4% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 8.02% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 5.05% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.3% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.03% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.87% Total : 47.51% |
How you voted: Osasuna vs Brugge
Osasuna
39.8%Draw
29.6%Club Brugge
30.6%108
