Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
43.85% (![]() | 25.66% (![]() | 30.49% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.76% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.93% (![]() | 50.07% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.95% (![]() | 72.04% (![]() |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.24% (![]() | 22.76% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.56% (![]() | 56.44% (![]() |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.6% (![]() | 30.4% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.4% (![]() | 66.6% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 10.24% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.03% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.58% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.45% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.74% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.65% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.65% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.38% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 2.14% Total : 43.85% | 1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 6.92% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.37% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.66% | 0-1 @ 8.24% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.26% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.9% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.88% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.13% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.95% ( ![]() Other @ 3.13% Total : 30.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Athletic Bilbao | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Celta Vigo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | AlavesAlaves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Espanyol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Barcelona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Getafe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | GironaGirona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Leganes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Mallorca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Osasuna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Real BetisBetis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Real Madrid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Real Sociedad | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Sevilla | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Valencia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Villarreal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
> La Liga Full Table |