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La Liga | Gameweek 32
Apr 19, 2024 at 8pm UK
San Mames Barria
Granada logo

Athletic Bilbao
1 - 1
Granada

Guruzeta (24')
Paredes (4'), Valverde (5'), de Marcos (27'), Sancet (38'), Herrera (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Williams (6' og.)
Puertas (47'), Mendez (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Granada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Granada 2-0 Alaves
Sunday, April 14 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Granada

Granada will be aiming to make it back-to-back wins on Friday, and the result over Alaves would certainly have boosted their confidence, but Athletic are so strong at home, and we are fully expecting the Lions to secure all three points in routine fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 68.7%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Granada had a probability of 11.45%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.88%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawGranada
68.7% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01) 19.85% (0.023999999999997 0.02) 11.45% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 42.08% (-0.108 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.75% (-0.125 -0.13)50.25% (0.122 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.79% (-0.112 -0.11)72.2% (0.108 0.11)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.41% (-0.044999999999987 -0.04)13.58% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.3% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)40.7% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.7% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)51.3% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.46% (-0.068 -0.07)85.54% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 68.7%
    Granada 11.45%
    Draw 19.85%
Athletic BilbaoDrawGranada
1-0 @ 13.91% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 13.88% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.27% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-0 @ 9.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 6.17% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.08% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.84% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.23% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 68.7%
1-1 @ 9.29% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.97% (0.035 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.09% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 19.85%
0-1 @ 4.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.1% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.55% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 11.45%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Granada

Athletic Bilbao
89.4%
Draw
9.4%
Granada
1.2%
85
Head to Head
Dec 11, 2023 8pm
May 10, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 36
Granada
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Collado (35')
Quini (41'), Escudero (77'), Duarte (88'), Brice Eteki (90+2')

Vesga (72')
Vesga (85')
Nov 26, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 15
Athletic Bilbao
2-2
Granada
Garcia (10'), Maximiano (76' og.)
Marcelino (53'), Zarraga (62')
Martinez (90+9')
Machis (25'), Molina (34')
Montoro (40'), Sanchez (77')
Mar 7, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 26
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Granada
Villalibre (3'), Berenguer (90+1')
Garcia (28'), Vencedor (68')
Molina (78')
Herrera (59'), Diaz (90+5')
Sep 12, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Granada
2-0
Athletic Bilbao
Herrera (49'), Milla (53')
Herrera (10'), Sanchez (45'), Gonalons (90+2')

Morcillo (15'), Martinez (52'), Lopez (72'), Alvarez (84')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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