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La Liga | Gameweek 30
Mar 31, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Athletic Bilbao logo

Real Madrid
2 - 0
Athletic Bilbao

Rodrygo (8', 73')
Tchouameni (57'), Nacho (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ruiz de Galarreta (87')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Athletic Bilbao.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Sunday's La Liga contest with Athletic Bilbao.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Athletic Bilbao.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 2-4 Real Madrid
Saturday, March 16 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Alaves
Saturday, March 16 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Real Madrid 2-1 Athletic Bilbao

 This has all of the makings of a fascinating match, and Athletic are more than capable of securing a positive result on Sunday evening. We were close to backing a draw here considering Vinicius's absence, but Bellingham's return is huge for Real Madrid, and we can see the hosts shading this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 59.43%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 18.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawAthletic Bilbao
59.43% (-1.304 -1.3) 22.04% (0.436 0.44) 18.53% (0.865 0.87)
Both teams to score 52.26% (0.222 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.25% (-0.525 -0.52)45.75% (0.522 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.93% (-0.5 -0.5)68.07% (0.49799999999999 0.5)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.98% (-0.59 -0.59)15.01% (0.588 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.51% (-1.129 -1.13)43.48% (1.126 1.13)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.49% (0.682 0.68)38.51% (-0.684 -0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.74% (0.646 0.65)75.25% (-0.64800000000001 -0.65)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 59.42%
    Athletic Bilbao 18.53%
    Draw 22.04%
Real MadridDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 10.96% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.39% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.57% (-0.27 -0.27)
3-1 @ 6.27% (-0.137 -0.14)
4-0 @ 3.11% (-0.196 -0.2)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.97% (-0.129 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.18% (-0.101 -0.1)
5-1 @ 1.13% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 59.42%
1-1 @ 10.46% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 5.78% (0.128 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.73% (0.084 0.08)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.04%
0-1 @ 5.52% (0.221 0.22)
1-2 @ 4.99% (0.189 0.19)
0-2 @ 2.63% (0.152 0.15)
1-3 @ 1.59% (0.088 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.51% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 18.53%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao

Real Madrid
81.7%
Draw
15.0%
Athletic Bilbao
3.3%
153
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 1
Athletic Bilbao
0-2
Real Madrid

Muniain (4'), Vivian (67'), Williams (87')
Rodrygo (28'), Bellingham (36')
Alaba (76')
> Preview
Jun 4, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 38
Real Madrid
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Benzema (72' pen.)
Ceballos (55'), Carvajal (85')
Sancet (49')
Sancet (57'), Berchiche (71')
> Match Report
Jan 22, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 18
Athletic Bilbao
0-2
Real Madrid
Benzema (24'), Kroos (90')
> Preview
Feb 3, 2022 8.30pm
Quarter-Finals
Athletic Bilbao
1-0
Real Madrid
Berenguer (89')
Garcia (42'), de Marcos (67'), Berchiche (68')

Kroos (24'), Modric (59')
> Preview
Jan 16, 2022 6.30pm
Final
Real Madrid
0-2
Athletic Bilbao

Marcelino (51'), Garcia (77'), Alvarez (90')
Modric (38'), Benzema (52' pen.)
Militao (87')
> Match Report
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Barcelona19122551222938
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Mallorca199371921-230
6Villarreal177642928127
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Osasuna186752327-425
10Celta Vigo187382728-124
11Real BetisBetis176652021-124
12Sevilla176471823-522
13Rayo Vallecano175661920-121
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe183781115-416
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1743101629-1315
19Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
20Valencia162591424-1011
> La Liga Full Table


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