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La Liga | Gameweek 30
Mar 31, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Athletic Bilbao logo

Real Madrid
2 - 0
Athletic Bilbao

Rodrygo (8', 73')
Tchouameni (57'), Nacho (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Athletic Bilbao.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Sunday's La Liga contest with Athletic Bilbao.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Athletic Bilbao.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Real Madrid 2-1 Athletic Bilbao

This has all of the makings of a fascinating match, and Athletic are more than capable of securing a positive result on Sunday evening. We were close to backing a draw here considering Vinicius's absence, but Bellingham's return is huge for Real Madrid, and we can see the hosts shading this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 59.43%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 18.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawAthletic Bilbao
59.43% (-1.304 -1.3) 22.04% (0.436 0.44) 18.53% (0.865 0.87)
Both teams to score 52.26% (0.222 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.25% (-0.525 -0.52)45.75% (0.522 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.93% (-0.5 -0.5)68.07% (0.49799999999999 0.5)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.98% (-0.59 -0.59)15.01% (0.588 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.51% (-1.129 -1.13)43.48% (1.126 1.13)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.49% (0.682 0.68)38.51% (-0.684 -0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.74% (0.646 0.65)75.25% (-0.64800000000001 -0.65)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 59.42%
    Athletic Bilbao 18.53%
    Draw 22.04%
Real MadridDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 10.96% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.39% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.57% (-0.27 -0.27)
3-1 @ 6.27% (-0.137 -0.14)
4-0 @ 3.11% (-0.196 -0.2)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.97% (-0.129 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.18% (-0.101 -0.1)
5-1 @ 1.13% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 59.42%
1-1 @ 10.46% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 5.78% (0.128 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.73% (0.084 0.08)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.04%
0-1 @ 5.52% (0.221 0.22)
1-2 @ 4.99% (0.189 0.19)
0-2 @ 2.63% (0.152 0.15)
1-3 @ 1.59% (0.088 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.51% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 18.53%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao

Real Madrid
81.7%
Draw
15.0%
Athletic Bilbao
3.3%
153
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 1
Athletic Bilbao
0-2
Real Madrid

Muniain (4'), Vivian (67'), Williams (87')
Rodrygo (28'), Bellingham (36')
Alaba (76')
Jun 4, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 38
Real Madrid
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Benzema (72' pen.)
Ceballos (55'), Carvajal (85')
Sancet (49')
Sancet (57'), Berchiche (71')
Jan 22, 2023 8pm
Feb 3, 2022 8.30pm
Quarter-Finals
Athletic Bilbao
1-0
Real Madrid
Berenguer (89')
Garcia (42'), de Marcos (67'), Berchiche (68')

Kroos (24'), Modric (59')
Jan 16, 2022 6.30pm
Final
Real Madrid
0-2
Athletic Bilbao

Marcelino (51'), Garcia (77'), Alvarez (90')
Modric (38'), Benzema (52' pen.)
Militao (87')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Monday, June 24
 
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Wednesday, June 26
 
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Saturday, June 29
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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