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Athletic Bilbao logo
Copa del Rey | Quarter-Finals
Feb 3, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
San Mamés Barria
Real Madrid logo

Athletic Bilbao
1 - 0
Real Madrid

Berenguer (89')
Garcia (42'), de Marcos (67'), Berchiche (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kroos (24'), Modric (59')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Thursday's Copa del Rey clash between Athletic Bilbao and Real Madrid.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa del Rey clash between Athletic Bilbao and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up for Thursday's Copa del Rey quarter-final with Athletic Bilbao.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Real Madrid's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their Copa del Rey quarter-final with Athletic Bilbao.

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Real Madrid

 A wealth of Real Madrid absentees coupled with an Athletic Bilbao side starting to rediscover their stride and out for revenge should lead to a truly intriguing battle at San Mames, one which Ancelotti's side may not actually head into as favourites. The result of this quarter-final may very well come down to how many troops Ancelotti is able to recover for Thursday, but we can see the quarter-final curse continuing for Real Madrid as Athletic keep their hopes of a third successive final appearance alive. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 54.4%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 23.16% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 2-1 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Madrid
23.16%22.44%54.4%
Both teams to score 58.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.58%41.42%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.18%63.82%
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.51%31.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.12%67.88%
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.82%15.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.2%43.8%
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 23.16%
    Real Madrid 54.4%
    Draw 22.44%
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Madrid
2-1 @ 6.02%
1-0 @ 5.53%
2-0 @ 3.19%
3-1 @ 2.32%
3-2 @ 2.18%
3-0 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 23.16%
1-1 @ 10.41%
2-2 @ 5.67%
0-0 @ 4.78%
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.44%
1-2 @ 9.82%
0-1 @ 9.01%
0-2 @ 8.5%
1-3 @ 6.17%
0-3 @ 5.34%
2-3 @ 3.56%
1-4 @ 2.91%
0-4 @ 2.52%
2-4 @ 1.68%
1-5 @ 1.1%
0-5 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 54.4%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid

Athletic Bilbao
27.2%
Draw
12.4%
Real Madrid
60.4%
202
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2022 6.30pm
Final
Real Madrid
0-2
Athletic Bilbao

Marcelino (51'), Garcia (77'), Alvarez (90')
Modric (38'), Benzema (52' pen.)
Militao (87')
> Match Report
Dec 22, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 21
Athletic Bilbao
1-2
Real Madrid
Sancet (10')
Vencedor (43'), Garcia (61')
Benzema (4', 7')
Junior (42'), Camavinga (62')
> Preview
Dec 1, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 9
Real Madrid
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Benzema (40')
Modric (68'), Casemiro (77')

Zarraga (31'), Lekue (43'), Williams (77')
> Preview
May 16, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 37
Athletic Bilbao
0-1
Real Madrid

Berenguer (14'), Garcia (79'), Martinez (80'), Marcelino (90')
Garcia (89')
Nacho (68')
Nacho (82'), Valverde (90+1')
> Match Report
Jan 14, 2021 8pm
Semi-Finals
Real Madrid
1-2
Athletic Bilbao
Benzema (73')
Vazquez (37'), Kroos (83')
Garcia (18', 38')
Capa (57'), Garcia (84'), Simon (88')
> Preview
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