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La Liga | Gameweek 4
Sep 3, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Reale Arena
Atletico Madrid logo

Real Sociedad
1 - 1
Atletico

Sadiq (55')
Zubimendi (28'), Cho (35'), Zubeldia (57'), Gorosabel (72'), Merino (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Morata (5')
Niguez (12'), De Paul (24'), Llorente (35'), Simeone (45+6'), Morata (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Sociedad and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Real Sociedad 1-2 Atletico Madrid

Real Sociedad have found it difficult against Atletico in their recent meetings, and we are struggling to back the hosts with any real confidence here. Atletico were strong in their last game against Valencia and should have enough to pick up another three points on Saturday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 36%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.34%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (12.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result
Real SociedadDrawAtletico Madrid
34.49% (0.503 0.5) 29.51% (0.173 0.17) 36% (-0.676 -0.68)
Both teams to score 43.45% (-0.432 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.46% (-0.53899999999999 -0.54)63.54% (0.538 0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.15% (-0.389 -0.39)82.85% (0.38799999999999 0.39)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.41% (0.058000000000007 0.06)34.59% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.68% (0.061 0.06)71.32% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.42% (-0.72099999999999 -0.72)33.57% (0.72 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.78% (-0.795 -0.8)70.22% (0.79499999999999 0.79)
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 34.48%
    Atletico Madrid 36%
    Draw 29.5%
Real SociedadDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 12.32% (0.26 0.26)
2-1 @ 7.14% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.54% (0.15 0.15)
3-1 @ 2.53% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.32% (0.057 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.38% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 34.48%
1-1 @ 13.45% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 11.61% (0.23 0.23)
2-2 @ 3.9% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 29.5%
0-1 @ 12.67%
1-2 @ 7.34% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-2 @ 6.92% (-0.135 -0.14)
1-3 @ 2.67% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.52% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 36%

How you voted: Real Sociedad vs Atletico

Real Sociedad
18.5%
Draw
19.3%
Atletico Madrid
62.2%
135
Head to Head
May 22, 2022 9pm
Real Sociedad
1-2
Atletico
Guridi (90+3')
Le Normand (13'), Rafinha (36'), Merino (53'), Portu (76')
De Paul (50'), Correa (68')
Griezmann (45+2'), Savic (90+2')
Jan 19, 2022 8pm
Real Sociedad
2-0
Atletico
Januzaj (33'), Sorloth (47')
Munoz (28'), Silva (59')

Hermoso (31'), Felipe (39'), Cunha (90+2')
Oct 24, 2021 8pm
Atletico
2-2
Real Sociedad
Suarez (61', 77' pen.)
Felipe (31')
Sorloth (7'), Isak (48')
Zaldua (41'), Elustondo (68'), Merino (76')
May 12, 2021 9pm
Dec 22, 2020 6.45pm
Real Sociedad
0-2
Atletico

Le Normand (29'), Elustondo (80'), Isak (86')
Hermoso (49'), Llorente (74')
Savic (16'), Hermoso (29'), Niguez (66')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Barcelona19122551222938
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Mallorca199371921-230
6Villarreal177642928127
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Osasuna186752327-425
10Celta Vigo187382728-124
11Real BetisBetis176652021-124
12Sevilla176471823-522
13Rayo Vallecano175661920-121
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe183781115-416
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1743101629-1315
19Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
20Valencia162591424-1011


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