Copa del Rey | Round of 16
Jan 19, 2022 at 8pm UK
Reale Arena
Real Sociedad2 - 0Atletico
We said: Real Sociedad 2-1 Atletico Madrid
Atletico are struggling to find their best form at the moment, and Real Sociedad will have had much longer to prepare for this contest; we are expecting it to be a tight match on Wednesday night but are backing the home side to emerge victorious within 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 36.88%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 36.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 36.67% | 26.45% | 36.88% |
| Both teams to score 52.73% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
