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La Liga | Gameweek 35
May 12, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Celta Vigo logo

Atletico
1 - 0
Celta Vigo

De Paul (84')
Witsel (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Starfelt (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celta Vigo 3-2 Villarreal
Sunday, May 5 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Atletico Madrid 1-0 Celta Vigo

Celta's recent form has been impressive, and they will enter this match in good shape, but Atletico's work is not done when it comes to finishing inside the top four, and Simeone's side are so strong at home. We are not expecting a classic, but the capital side should navigate their way to an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 61.79%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 17.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Madrid in this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawCelta Vigo
61.79% (0.301 0.3) 21.02% (-0.18 -0.18) 17.19% (-0.12 -0.12)
Both teams to score 53.03% (0.355 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.57% (0.593 0.59)43.43% (-0.593 -0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.17% (0.58 0.58)65.83% (-0.58000000000001 -0.58)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.48% (0.28 0.28)13.52% (-0.28 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.42% (0.557 0.56)40.58% (-0.556 -0.56)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.32% (0.212 0.21)38.67% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.58% (0.201 0.2)75.41% (-0.202 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 61.78%
    Celta Vigo 17.19%
    Draw 21.02%
Atletico MadridDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 10.46% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-0 @ 10.46% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.95% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 6.98% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.63% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
4-0 @ 3.49% (0.052 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.32% (0.069 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.051 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.58% (0.042 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.4% (0.036 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.33% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 61.78%
1-1 @ 9.94% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 5.23% (-0.137 -0.14)
2-2 @ 4.72% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 1% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.02%
0-1 @ 4.97% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-2 @ 4.72% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.36% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.5% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.5% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 17.19%

How you voted: Atletico vs Celta Vigo

Atletico Madrid
77.6%
Draw
18.8%
Celta Vigo
3.5%
85
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 10
Celta Vigo
0-3
Atletico

Mingueza (30'), Starfelt (51'), Rodriguez (87')
Villar (25')
Griezmann (29' pen., 64', 70')
Niguez (54'), Riquelme (87')
Feb 12, 2023 3.15pm
Sep 10, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 5
Atletico
4-1
Celta Vigo
Correa (9'), De Paul (50'), Carrasco (66'), Nunez (82' og.)
Veiga (71')
Feb 26, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 26
Atletico
2-0
Celta Vigo
Lodi (36', 60')
Savic (12'), Gimenez (15'), Oblak (20'), Mandava (50')

Aspas (17'), Araujo (71'), Galhardo (84')
Aug 15, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 1
Celta Vigo
1-2
Atletico
Aspas (59' pen.)
Suarez (77'), Solari (86'), Fontan (90'), Aspas (90+5')
Mallo (90+5')
Correa (23', 64')
Lemar (11'), Llorente (57'), Kondogbia (61'), Carrasco (90+2'), Gimenez (90+8')
Hermoso (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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