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Celta Vigo logo
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Girona logo
Granada logo
Las Palmas
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La Liga | Gameweek 32
Apr 20, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Balaidos
Las Palmas

Celta Vigo
4 - 1
Las Palmas

Aspas (37', 76'), Swedberg (39'), Douvikas (71')
Strand Larsen (66')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Herzog (11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Las Palmas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Betis 2-1 Celta Vigo
Friday, April 12 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Las Palmas 0-2 Sevilla
Sunday, April 14 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Celta Vigo 1-1 Las Palmas

There has only been one draw in the last six La Liga meetings between these two sides, but we can see the points being shared this weekend. Celta have been poor at home this term, but Las Palmas are not particularly strong on their travels, and we are predicting a low-scoring draw here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 49.5%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 24.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.

Result
Celta VigoDrawLas Palmas
49.5% (0.346 0.35) 25.78% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 24.72% (-0.343 -0.34)
Both teams to score 49.24% (-0.309 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.02% (-0.246 -0.25)53.97% (0.243 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.58% (-0.207 -0.21)75.42% (0.205 0.2)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.16% (0.048000000000002 0.05)21.83% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.94% (0.076999999999998 0.08)55.05% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)
Las Palmas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.99% (-0.437 -0.44)37% (0.434 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.21% (-0.436 -0.44)73.79% (0.432 0.43)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 49.5%
    Las Palmas 24.72%
    Draw 25.78%
Celta VigoDrawLas Palmas
1-0 @ 12.29% (0.14 0.14)
2-0 @ 9.36% (0.117 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.3% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.75% (0.066 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.72% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.81% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.8% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 49.5%
1-1 @ 12.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.08% (0.077 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.62% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 25.78%
0-1 @ 8.03% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.08% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.99% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.01% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.035 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 24.72%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Las Palmas

Celta Vigo
54.3%
Draw
34.3%
Las Palmas
11.4%
35
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 8
Las Palmas
2-1
Celta Vigo
Viera (84' pen.), Cardona (90+7')
Marmol (74'), Cardona (90+8')
Douvikas (67')
Starfelt (83')
Mar 5, 2018 8pm
Oct 16, 2017 8pm
Las Palmas
2-5
Celta Vigo
Vitolo (90'), Remy (90')
Bigas (51'), Aquilani (61')
Mor (16'), Aspas (20', 49', 76'), Hernandez (71')
Jozabed (27')
Blanco (52')
Apr 3, 2017 7.45pm
Celta Vigo
3-1
Las Palmas
Rossi (13', 36', 57')
Roncaglia (24'), Jonny (45')
Bigas (80')
Bigas (17'), Rodriguez (52')
Oct 30, 2016 7.45pm
Las Palmas
3-3
Celta Vigo
Bigas (52'), Viera (66' pen.), Boateng (68')
Boateng (50'), Momo (88')
Wass (6'), Aspas (14', 21')
Mallo (11'), Radoja (27'), Gomez (40'), Aspas (43'), Pedro Hernandez (60'), Wass (74'), Diaz (90')
Gomez (65')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 15
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 16
 
5pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 17
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 18
 
5pm
Wednesday, June 19
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Thursday, June 20
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Switzerland Switzerland11003
3 Hungary Hungary10010
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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