Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 44.4%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 25.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.79%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.
Result | ||
Espanyol | Draw | Alaves |
44.4% ( -0.07) | 30.31% ( 0) | 25.29% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 38.26% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
31.81% ( 0.03) | 68.19% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
13.94% ( 0.02) | 86.06% ( -0.02) |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.06% ( -0.02) | 30.94% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.77% ( -0.03) | 67.23% ( 0.03) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.39% ( 0.08) | 44.61% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.38% ( 0.07) | 80.62% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Espanyol | Draw | Alaves |
1-0 @ 16.19% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.5% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.67% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.21% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 44.4% | 0-0 @ 13.79% ( -0.02) 1-1 @ 13.07% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.35% Total : 30.3% | 0-1 @ 11.14% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.74% Total : 25.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 21 |
2 | Real Madrid | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 18 |
3 | Villarreal | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 17 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 16 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 14 |
6 | Mallorca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Osasuna | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Real BetisBetis | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 10 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 10 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 10 |
12 | GironaGirona | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 |
13 | Sevilla | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
14 | Real Sociedad | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
15 | Getafe | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
16 | Leganes | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 7 |
17 | Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
18 | Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 5 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 5 |
20 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 3 |
> La Liga Full Table |