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La Liga | Gameweek 36
May 11, 2022 at 6pm UK
Mendizorroza, Vitoria, Basque Country
Espanyol logo

Alaves
2 - 1
Espanyol

de la Fuente (7'), Escalante (59')
N'Diaye (41'), Laguardia (90'), Tenas (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
de Tomas (14' pen.)
Herrera (30'), Vidal (40')
Herrera (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Espanyol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alaves 0-1 Cadiz
Sunday, May 22 at 7pm in La Liga
Last Game: Granada 0-0 Espanyol
Sunday, May 22 at 7pm in La Liga

We said: Alaves 2-1 Espanyol

Alaves come into the game desperate for a victory to stand any chance of survival, and they may have a good opportunity against a team who are slightly too comfortable to be fighting for their lives. As a result, we slightly lean towards a victory for El Glorioso on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Alaves in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Alaves.

Result
AlavesDrawEspanyol
43.71% (-0.171 -0.17) 26.11% (0.045000000000002 0.05) 30.17% (0.124 0.12)
Both teams to score 52.18% (-0.07 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.95% (-0.124 -0.12)52.05% (0.124 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.22% (-0.106 -0.11)73.78% (0.105 0.11)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.32% (-0.13600000000001 -0.14)23.68% (0.136 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.21% (-0.197 -0.2)57.79% (0.196 0.2)
Espanyol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.37% (0.029000000000011 0.03)31.63% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.96% (0.033000000000001 0.03)68.04% (-0.032999999999987 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Alaves 43.71%
    Espanyol 30.17%
    Draw 26.1%
AlavesDrawEspanyol
1-0 @ 10.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.77% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.3% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.73% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.34% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 43.71%
1-1 @ 12.41% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.49% (0.037 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 8.62% (0.048 0.05)
1-2 @ 7.15% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.96% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.74% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.9% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 30.17%

How you voted: Alaves vs Espanyol

Alaves
57.5%
Draw
23.0%
Espanyol
19.5%
87
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2021 6.30pm
Espanyol
1-0
Alaves
De Tomas (54' pen.)
Cabrera (90+1'), Lopez (90+6')

Duarte (53')
Jun 13, 2020 1pm
Aug 25, 2019 4pm
Alaves
0-0
Espanyol

Pina (7'), Wakaso (40'), Vidal (83')

Vila (55')
Apr 13, 2019 12pm
Espanyol
2-1
Alaves
Pedrosa (19'), Laguardia (47' og.)
Naldo (22'), Darder (53'), Roca (84')
Calleri (57')
Duarte (39'), Laguardia (79')
Sep 2, 2018 3.15pm
Alaves
2-1
Espanyol
Baston (57'), Sobrino
Wakaso (17'), Garcia (19'), Laguardia (39'), Pacheco (40')
Baptistao
Darder (44'), Iglesias (45'), Baptistao (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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