Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 51.05%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 22.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.
Result | ||
Espanyol | Draw | Alaves |
51.05% | 26.9% | 22.05% |
Both teams to score 43.46% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.92% | 60.08% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.7% | 80.3% |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.27% | 23.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.13% | 57.87% |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.99% | 43.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.7% | 79.3% |
Score Analysis |
Espanyol | Draw | Alaves |
1-0 @ 14.68% 2-0 @ 10.55% 2-1 @ 8.91% 3-0 @ 5.06% 3-1 @ 4.27% 4-0 @ 1.82% 3-2 @ 1.8% 4-1 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.41% Total : 51.04% | 1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 10.2% 2-2 @ 3.76% Other @ 0.55% Total : 26.89% | 0-1 @ 8.61% 1-2 @ 5.23% 0-2 @ 3.63% 1-3 @ 1.47% 2-3 @ 1.06% 0-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.03% Total : 22.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 26 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Mallorca | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 18 |
10 | GironaGirona | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | AlavesAlaves | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 12 |
17 | Getafe | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
18 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 9 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |