Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 47.66%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 23.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Valladolid | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
47.66% ( -0.04) | 29.14% ( -0.01) | 23.19% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 39.26% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
33.91% ( 0.06) | 66.09% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
15.35% ( 0.04) | 84.64% ( -0.04) |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.87% ( 0.01) | 28.13% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.19% ( 0.01) | 63.81% ( -0.01) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.62% ( 0.09) | 45.37% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.77% ( 0.07) | 81.23% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Real Valladolid | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 16.18% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.26% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.43% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.36% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 1.51% Total : 47.65% | 1-1 @ 12.79% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12.76% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.38% Total : 29.14% | 0-1 @ 10.08% 1-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.68% Total : 23.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 38 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 31 | 11 | 20 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 33 |
5 | Villarreal | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Mallorca | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 27 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 25 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 21 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 11 |
> La Liga Full Table |