Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.72%) and 2-1 (7.56%). The likeliest Leganes win was 0-1 (11.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Leganes |
38.85% ( 0.23) | 29.79% ( 0.07) | 31.35% ( -0.3) |
Both teams to score 42.21% ( -0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.21% ( -0.28) | 64.79% ( 0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.25% ( -0.2) | 83.74% ( 0.19) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.58% ( -0) | 32.42% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.06% ( -0) | 68.94% ( 0) |
Leganes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.47% ( -0.38) | 37.53% ( 0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.69% ( -0.38) | 74.31% ( 0.38) |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Leganes |
1-0 @ 13.7% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.56% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.84% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.73% Total : 38.85% | 1-1 @ 13.43% 0-0 @ 12.16% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.78% | 0-1 @ 11.92% 1-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.74% Total : 31.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 38 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 31 | 11 | 20 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 33 |
5 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
6 | Villarreal | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 25 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 21 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 11 |
> La Liga Full Table |