Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 47.54%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 23.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Real Valladolid | Draw | Mallorca |
47.54% ( 4.96) | 28.99% ( -0.13) | 23.47% ( -4.83) |
Both teams to score 39.84% ( -2.94) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
34.52% ( -1.95) | 65.48% ( 1.95) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
15.78% ( -1.37) | 84.22% ( 1.38) |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.1% ( 1.69) | 27.9% ( -1.69) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.48% ( 2.11) | 63.51% ( -2.11) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.26% ( -5.5) | 44.74% ( 5.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.28% ( -4.78) | 80.72% ( 4.78) |
Score Analysis |
Real Valladolid | Draw | Mallorca |
1-0 @ 15.93% ( 1.8) 2-0 @ 10.17% ( 1.56) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.83) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.32) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.12) Other @ 1.56% Total : 47.54% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( -0.41) 0-0 @ 12.48% ( 0.87) 2-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.48) Other @ 0.4% Total : 28.98% | 0-1 @ 10.03% ( -0.83) 1-2 @ 5.15% ( -1.03) 0-2 @ 4.04% ( -1.04) 1-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.55) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.5) Other @ 1.78% Total : 23.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 38 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 31 | 11 | 20 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 33 |
5 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
6 | Villarreal | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 25 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 21 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 11 |
> La Liga Full Table |