Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 71.06%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 12.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 3-0 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.59%), while for a Villarreal win it was 1-2 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.