La Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 8, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Real Madrid2 - 3Villarreal
Reaction
Real Madrid's Federico Valverde facing 12-game ban for Alex Baena incident?
Real Madrid midfielder Federico Valverde is reportedly at risk of a 12-game ban for allegedly punching Villarreal's Alex Baena after their La Liga clash on April 8.
Apr 18, 16:14
Real Madrid's Federico Valverde 'punched Villarreal player in car park'
Real Madrid's Federico Valverde punched Villarreal's Alex Baena after Saturday's La Liga contest between the two sides, according to a report.
Apr 9, 15:55
The Match
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Villarreal.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Saturday's La Liga clash with Villarreal.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Villarreal.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Barcelona 0-4 Real Madrid
Wednesday, April 5 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Wednesday, April 5 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Villarreal 2-0 Real Sociedad
Sunday, April 2 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Sunday, April 2 at 5.30pm in La Liga
We said: Real Madrid 1-1 Villarreal
Ancelotti will certainly be thinking about next week's trip to Chelsea, with Real Madrid so far behind when it comes to the top of the La Liga table. Los Blancos were excellent against Barcelona on Wednesday, but it would not be a surprise to see them drop some points against an impressive Villarreal outfit on Saturday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 59.19%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 19.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Villarreal win it was 1-2 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | Villarreal |
59.19% ( -0.12) | 21.34% ( 0.05) | 19.46% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 56.32% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
