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Villarreal logo
Conference League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 16, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de la Cerámica
Anderlecht

Villarreal
0 - 1
Anderlecht


Pino (69'), Cuenca (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Slimani (73')
Murillo (18'), Verschaeren (66'), Slimani (70'), Ashimeru (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Villarreal and Anderlecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Villarreal 3-0 Anderlecht

We expect Villarreal to book their place in the quarter-finals with a high-scoring victory over Anderlecht, whose below-par campaign looks set to worsen with a Europa Conference League exit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 49.71%. A win for Anderlecht had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Anderlecht win was 0-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
VillarrealDrawAnderlecht
49.71% (-0.255 -0.26) 24.26% (0.0030000000000001 0) 26.03% (0.25 0.25)
Both teams to score 55.15% (0.218 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.19% (0.17299999999999 0.17)46.8% (-0.175 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.94% (0.164 0.16)69.06% (-0.16500000000001 -0.17)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.12% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)18.87% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.65% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)50.35% (0.055 0.05)
Anderlecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.97% (0.295 0.3)32.02% (-0.295 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.51% (0.333 0.33)68.49% (-0.33399999999999 -0.33)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 49.7%
    Anderlecht 26.03%
    Draw 24.26%
VillarrealDrawAnderlecht
1-0 @ 10.07% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.4% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-1 @ 5.32% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.67% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.22% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.95% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 49.7%
1-1 @ 11.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.04% (-0.045000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.26%
0-1 @ 6.88% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 6.53% (0.05 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.92% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.48% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.07% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 26.03%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Anderlecht

Villarreal
83.1%
Draw
8.5%
Anderlecht
8.5%
71
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2023 5.45pm
Round of 16
Anderlecht
1-1
Villarreal
Dreyer (57')
Riemer (45')
Trigueros (28')
Trigueros (37')
rhs 2.0
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