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La Liga | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Villarreal logo

Valencia
1 - 1
Villarreal

Duro (24')
Duro (39'), Pepelu (51'), Guillamon (62')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Perez (45+3')
Pino (42'), Gueye (50'), Femenia (77'), Albiol (83')
Gueye (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Valencia
Wednesday, August 28 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 4-3 Celta Vigo
Monday, August 26 at 8.30pm in La Liga

We said: Valencia 1-2 Villarreal

Valencia desperately need to stop their losing run, but Villarreal are a classy outfit, and we can see the Yellow Submarine securing all three points to continue their excellent start to the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 36.68%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
ValenciaDrawVillarreal
36.68% (0.058 0.06) 27.15% (0.029999999999998 0.03) 36.17% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Both teams to score 50.43% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.02% (-0.115 -0.12)54.98% (0.117 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.75% (-0.096 -0.1)76.25% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.17% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)28.83% (0.020999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.31% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)64.69% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.86% (-0.11 -0.11)29.14% (0.112 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.93% (-0.135 -0.13)65.07% (0.136 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 36.67%
    Villarreal 36.16%
    Draw 27.15%
ValenciaDrawVillarreal
1-0 @ 10.44% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.01% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 6.5% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.69% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 36.67%
1-1 @ 12.88% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.4% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.94% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 27.15%
0-1 @ 10.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.94% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.39% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.27% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.63% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 36.16%

How you voted: Valencia vs Villarreal

Valencia
17.2%
Draw
22.4%
Villarreal
60.3%
116
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 29
Villarreal
1-0
Valencia
Cuenca (54')
Femenia (12'), Coquelin (35'), Baena (41'), Cuenca (52'), Mandi (70')

Ozkacar (36')
Jan 2, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 19
Valencia
3-1
Villarreal
Yaremchuk (4'), Pepelu (27' pen., 57' pen.)
Gaya (63'), Lopez (74')
Moreno (73')
Bailly (37'), Marcelino (38'), Parejo (49'), Capoue (56'), Terrats (80'), Cuenca (90+2')
May 3, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 33
Valencia
1-1
Villarreal
Lino (72')
Jackson (62')
Dec 31, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 15
Villarreal
2-1
Valencia
Chukwueze (45'), Foyth (88')
Cavani (21')
Apr 19, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 33
Villarreal
2-0
Valencia
Danjuma (10' pen., 17')
Trigueros (75'), Aurier (84')

Comert (9'), Maranhao (40'), Moriba (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico19135134122244
2Real Madrid19134243192443
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal198653431330
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad198471713428
8GironaGirona198472725228
9Rayo Vallecano196762222025
10Real BetisBetis196762123-225
11Osasuna196762328-525
12Celta Vigo197392830-224
13Sevilla196582128-723
14Las PalmasLas Palmas196492429-522
15Getafe194781316-319
16Leganes194781829-1119
17AlavesAlaves1945102131-1017
18Espanyol1944111731-1416
19Real ValladolidValladolid1943121337-2415
20Valencia1927101829-1113


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