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La Liga | Gameweek 38
May 25, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadio El Sadar
Villarreal logo

Osasuna
1 - 1
Villarreal

Budimir (30')
Munoz (34'), Pena (82'), Arnaiz (88'), Garcia (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Luis Morales (57')
Baena (10'), Traore (40'), Mosquera (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atletico 1-4 Osasuna
Sunday, May 19 at 6pm in La Liga

We said: Osasuna 1-3 Villarreal

Villarreal have won five of their last eight road trips in the top flight, and we think that they produce another strong away performance to claim maximum points and spoil Arrasate's Osasunsa farewell. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 42.95%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
OsasunaDrawVillarreal
42.95% (1.077 1.08) 25.14% (-0.411 -0.41) 31.9% (-0.665 -0.66)
Both teams to score 56.11% (1.126 1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.7% (1.575 1.58)47.3% (-1.574 -1.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.47% (1.444 1.44)69.52% (-1.445 -1.45)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78% (1.197 1.2)21.99% (-1.196 -1.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.7% (1.778 1.78)55.3% (-1.778 -1.78)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.94% (0.34400000000001 0.34)28.06% (-0.345 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.28% (0.436 0.44)63.72% (-0.436 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Osasuna 42.95%
    Villarreal 31.9%
    Draw 25.14%
OsasunaDrawVillarreal
1-0 @ 9.35% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-1 @ 8.99% (0.14 0.14)
2-0 @ 7.08% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.54% (0.227 0.23)
3-0 @ 3.57% (0.146 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.171 0.17)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.143 0.14)
4-0 @ 1.35% (0.101 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.1 0.1)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 42.95%
1-1 @ 11.87% (-0.24 -0.24)
0-0 @ 6.17% (-0.415 -0.42)
2-2 @ 5.71% (0.142 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.083 0.08)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.14%
0-1 @ 7.84% (-0.448 -0.45)
1-2 @ 7.55% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-2 @ 4.98% (-0.234 -0.23)
1-3 @ 3.2% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.42% (0.084 0.08)
0-3 @ 2.11% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 31.9%

How you voted: Osasuna vs Villarreal

Osasuna
14.3%
Draw
7.1%
Villarreal
78.6%
84
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 14
Villarreal
3-1
Osasuna
Luis Morales (57', 71', 80')
Catena (78')
Mar 19, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 26
Osasuna
0-3
Villarreal
Chukwueze (14'), Luis Morales (85', 90+3')
Oct 17, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 9
Villarreal
2-0
Osasuna
Danjuma (42', 52' pen.)
Mar 5, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 27
Osasuna
1-0
Villarreal
Avila (63')
Avila (74')
Oct 17, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 9
Villarreal
1-2
Osasuna
Moreno (55')
Capoue (33')
Torro (26'), Avila (87')
Herrera (30'), Garcia (54'), Garcia (60'), Torro (86'), Avila (88')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Thursday, June 20
 
2pm
 
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
5pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England11003
2 Denmark Denmark10101
3 Slovenia Slovenia10101
4 Serbia Serbia10010

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands11003
2 France France11003
3 Poland Poland10010
4 Austria Austria10010

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania11003
2 Slovakia Slovakia11003
3 Belgium Belgium10010
4 Ukraine Ukraine10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Turkey Turkey11003
2 Portugal Portugal11003
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic10010
4 Georgia Georgia10010


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