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La Liga | Gameweek 35
May 11, 2024 at 8pm UK
San Mames Barria
Osauna logo

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 2
Osasuna

Williams (58'), Villalibre (90+6')
Berchiche (22'), Herrera (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Garcia (40'), Garcia (47')
Herrando (34'), Ibanez (55'), Catena (73'), Garcia (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osasuna 0-2 Betis
Sunday, May 5 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Osasuna

Both sides have selection issues ahead of this match, and it has the potential to be a very tricky match for Athletic, who will have a patched-up defence. The Basque outfit need to win to stay in the top-four race, though, and we are backing them to navigate their way to an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 65.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 13.44%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.06%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawOsasuna
65.44% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04) 21.12% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 13.44% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 44.01% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.1% (0.034999999999997 0.03)50.91% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.22% (0.029 0.03)72.78% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.21%14.8% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.93% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)43.07% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.65% (0.07 0.07)48.35% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.51% (0.050000000000001 0.05)83.49% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 65.44%
    Osasuna 13.44%
    Draw 21.12%
Athletic BilbaoDrawOsasuna
1-0 @ 13.67% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 13.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 8.32% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 3.97% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.89% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.52% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 65.44%
1-1 @ 9.93% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.45% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 21.12%
0-1 @ 5.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 3.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.89% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 13.44%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Osasuna

Athletic Bilbao
88.8%
Draw
8.8%
Osasuna
2.5%
80
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 2
Osasuna
0-2
Athletic Bilbao

Garcia (59')
Avila (90+4')
Williams (11'), Guruzeta (20')
Lekue (38'), Sancet (47'), Ruiz de Galarreta (71'), Simon (90+4')
Sancet (59')
May 25, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 36
Osasuna
2-0
Athletic Bilbao
Budimir (50'), Torro (77')
Torro (31'), Budimir (66'), Ibanez (84')

de Marcos (15'), Berenguer (74'), Vivian (76')
Apr 4, 2023 8.10pm
Mar 1, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Osasuna
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Jan 9, 2023 8pm
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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