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Athletic Bilbao logo
Atletico Madrid logo
Barcelona logo
Celta Vigo logo
Getafe logo
Girona logo
Las Palmas
Leganes logo
Mallorca logo
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Rayo Vallecano logo
Real Betis logo
Real Madrid logo
Real Sociedad logo
Real Valladolid logo
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Rayo Vallecano logo
La Liga | Gameweek 32
Apr 20, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Osauna logo

Rayo Vallecano
2 - 1
Osasuna

Chavarria (80'), Isi (84')
Valentin (45'), Lopez (46'), Ciss (51'), Isi (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gomez (29')
Munoz (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 0-0 Getafe
Saturday, April 13 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 0-1 Valencia
Monday, April 15 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Osasuna

This is a really tough match to call, but the signs are pointing to a stalemate here. Rayo have shared the points in eight of their 15 home league fixtures this term, including draws in three of their last four, and we can see a close fixture ending 1-1 on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 42.87%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 28.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.59%) and 2-1 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawOsasuna
42.87% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 28.77%28.36% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 43.68% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.58% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)62.42% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)82.04% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.11% (0.018000000000001 0.02)28.89% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.24% (0.021999999999998 0.02)64.76% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.43% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)38.57% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.69% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)75.32% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 42.86%
    Osasuna 28.36%
    Draw 28.77%
Rayo VallecanoDrawOsasuna
1-0 @ 13.83% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.59% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.18% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.56% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.61%
4-0 @ 1.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.05% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 42.86%
1-1 @ 13.18%
0-0 @ 11.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 28.77%
0-1 @ 10.61% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.28% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.06% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.99% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.61% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.24% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 28.36%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna

Rayo Vallecano
27.5%
Draw
55.0%
Osasuna
17.5%
40
Head to Head
Dec 15, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 17
Osasuna
1-0
Rayo Vallecano
Garcia (90+5')
Arnaiz (74'), Garcia (90+6')

Espino (40'), Ciss (55'), Perez (55')
Apr 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 29
Rayo Vallecano
2-1
Osasuna
Hernandez (40' og.), Isi (43')
Gomez (66')
Sep 4, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 4
Osasuna
2-1
Rayo Vallecano
Oroz (54'), Garcia (90')
Lejeune (75')
Feb 12, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 24
Rayo Vallecano
0-3
Osasuna

Garcia (24'), Saveljich (34')
Moncayola (8'), Garcia (40'), Kike (90+3')
Vidal (70')
Oct 2, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 8
Osasuna
1-0
Rayo Vallecano
Sanchez (90+1')
Torro (45'), Martinez (76'), Avila (90+5')

Balliu (5'), Trejo (32'), Falcao (41')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Athletic Bilbao00000000
2Atletico MadridAtletico00000000
3Celta Vigo00000000
4AlavesAlaves00000000
5Espanyol00000000
6Barcelona00000000
7Getafe00000000
8GironaGirona00000000
9Las PalmasLas Palmas00000000
10Leganes00000000
11Mallorca00000000
12Osasuna00000000
13Rayo Vallecano00000000
14Real BetisBetis00000000
15Real Madrid00000000
16Real Sociedad00000000
17Real ValladolidValladolid00000000
18Sevilla00000000
19Valencia00000000
20Villarreal00000000


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