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Las Palmas
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La Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 14, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Osauna logo

Rayo Vallecano
2 - 1
Osasuna

Hernandez (40' og.), Isi (43')
Garcia (48'), Catena (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Gomez (66')
Kike (46'), Gomez (88'), Garcia (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Atletico
Sunday, April 9 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 2-1 Elche
Saturday, April 8 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Osasuna

There is not too much between these two teams in terms of quality, as the league table suggests, and we are expecting a close match on Friday night. Both managers would likely accept a point if it were offered ahead of kickoff, and we are predicting a low-scoring draw in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 46.84%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 26.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawOsasuna
46.84% (0.043000000000006 0.04) 26.84% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 26.31% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03)
Both teams to score 47.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.17% (0.018000000000001 0.02)56.84% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.24% (0.015999999999998 0.02)77.76% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.74% (0.028999999999996 0.03)24.27% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.37% (0.042000000000002 0.04)58.63% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.81% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)37.19% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.02% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)73.98% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 46.84%
    Osasuna 26.31%
    Draw 26.84%
Rayo VallecanoDrawOsasuna
1-0 @ 12.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.05% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 4.27% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.23% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.51% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.5% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 46.84%
1-1 @ 12.64%
0-0 @ 9.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.43%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.84%
0-1 @ 8.93% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.41% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 26.31%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna

Rayo Vallecano
40.8%
Draw
33.8%
Osasuna
25.4%
71
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2022 1pm
Feb 12, 2022 5.30pm
Rayo Vallecano
0-3
Osasuna

Garcia (24'), Saveljich (34')
Moncayola (8'), Garcia (40'), Kike (90+3')
Vidal (70')
Oct 2, 2021 1pm
Osasuna
1-0
Rayo Vallecano
Sanchez (90+1')
Torro (45'), Martinez (76'), Avila (90+5')

Balliu (5'), Trejo (32'), Falcao (41')
Feb 2, 2018 8pm
Sep 10, 2017 7.30pm
Rayo Vallecano
0-3
Osasuna

Chechu (37')
Hernandez (27'), Xisco (87', 94')
Torro (26'), Torres (41'), Arzura (74'), Castellano (81'), Merida (91')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid21154250203049
2Atletico MadridAtletico21136235142145
3Barcelona20123552232939
4Athletic Bilbao20116331181339
5Villarreal219753932734
6Mallorca219391926-730
7Real Sociedad208481714328
8GironaGirona208482827128
9Real BetisBetis217772326-328
10Osasuna216962530-527
11Sevilla217682430-627
12Rayo Vallecano206862323026
13Celta Vigo2073102932-324
14Las PalmasLas Palmas2165102634-823
15Leganes205781929-1022
16Getafe204881417-320
17AlavesAlaves2055102432-820
18Espanyol2155112033-1320
19Valencia2037101929-1016
20Real ValladolidValladolid2143141442-2815


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