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Las Palmas
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La Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 14, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Osauna logo

Rayo Vallecano
2 - 1
Osasuna

Hernandez (40' og.), Isi (43')
Garcia (48'), Catena (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Gomez (66')
Kike (46'), Gomez (88'), Garcia (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Atletico
Sunday, April 9 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 2-1 Elche
Saturday, April 8 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Osasuna

There is not too much between these two teams in terms of quality, as the league table suggests, and we are expecting a close match on Friday night. Both managers would likely accept a point if it were offered ahead of kickoff, and we are predicting a low-scoring draw in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 46.84%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 26.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawOsasuna
46.84% (0.043000000000006 0.04) 26.84% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 26.31% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03)
Both teams to score 47.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.17% (0.018000000000001 0.02)56.84% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.24% (0.015999999999998 0.02)77.76% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.74% (0.028999999999996 0.03)24.27% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.37% (0.042000000000002 0.04)58.63% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.81% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)37.19% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.02% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)73.98% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 46.84%
    Osasuna 26.31%
    Draw 26.84%
Rayo VallecanoDrawOsasuna
1-0 @ 12.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.05% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 4.27% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.23% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.51% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.5% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 46.84%
1-1 @ 12.64%
0-0 @ 9.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.43%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.84%
0-1 @ 8.93% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.41% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 26.31%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna

Rayo Vallecano
40.8%
Draw
33.8%
Osasuna
25.4%
71
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2022 1pm
Feb 12, 2022 5.30pm
Rayo Vallecano
0-3
Osasuna

Garcia (24'), Saveljich (34')
Moncayola (8'), Garcia (40'), Kike (90+3')
Vidal (70')
Oct 2, 2021 1pm
Osasuna
1-0
Rayo Vallecano
Sanchez (90+1')
Torro (45'), Martinez (76'), Avila (90+5')

Balliu (5'), Trejo (32'), Falcao (41')
Feb 2, 2018 8pm
Sep 10, 2017 7.30pm
Rayo Vallecano
0-3
Osasuna

Chechu (37')
Hernandez (27'), Xisco (87', 94')
Torro (26'), Torres (41'), Arzura (74'), Castellano (81'), Merida (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512


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