Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 46.84%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 26.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Osasuna |
46.84% ( 0.04) | 26.84% ( -0.01) | 26.31% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 47.57% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.17% ( 0.02) | 56.84% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.24% ( 0.02) | 77.76% ( -0.02) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.74% ( 0.03) | 24.27% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.37% ( 0.04) | 58.63% ( -0.04) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.81% ( -0.02) | 37.19% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.02% ( -0.02) | 73.98% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Osasuna |
1-0 @ 12.78% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 46.84% | 1-1 @ 12.64% 0-0 @ 9.03% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.43% Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.84% | 0-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0) Other @ 1.75% Total : 26.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
14 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |