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Almeria
La Liga | Gameweek 32
Apr 21, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos
Villarreal logo

Almeria
1 - 2
Villarreal

Lozano (30')
Viera (73'), Ramazani (80')
Ramazani (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Akhomach (25'), Sorloth (90+2')
Akhomach (50'), Coquelin (59'), Jorgensen (62'), Femenia (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Sociedad 2-2 Almeria
Sunday, April 14 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Almeria 1-2 Villarreal

Almeria are seeking a first La Liga success over Villarreal for 14 years, but we are finding it difficult to predict a positive result for the basement side. Villarreal are in excellent form on their travels, and we are backing the Yellow Submarine to navigate their way to all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Almeria win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Villarreal in this match.

Result
AlmeriaDrawVillarreal
35.28% (-1.127 -1.13) 25.08% (0.187 0.19) 39.63% (0.936 0.94)
Both teams to score 57.3% (-0.805 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.82% (-0.983 -0.98)46.17% (0.979 0.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.53% (-0.933 -0.93)68.47% (0.931 0.93)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.53% (-1.091 -1.09)25.46% (1.088 1.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.71% (-1.513 -1.51)60.29% (1.51 1.51)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.87% (0.040999999999997 0.04)23.12% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.01% (0.062999999999995 0.06)56.98% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Almeria 35.28%
    Villarreal 39.63%
    Draw 25.08%
AlmeriaDrawVillarreal
2-1 @ 8.07% (-0.161 -0.16)
1-0 @ 8.05% (0.083000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 5.51% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-1 @ 3.68% (-0.193 -0.19)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.138 -0.14)
3-0 @ 2.51% (-0.136 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.109 -0.11)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 35.28%
1-1 @ 11.79% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 5.89% (0.241 0.24)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.08%
1-2 @ 8.64% (0.111 0.11)
0-1 @ 8.62% (0.362 0.36)
0-2 @ 6.31% (0.273 0.27)
1-3 @ 4.22% (0.059 0.06)
0-3 @ 3.08% (0.138 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.88% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.54% (0.024 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.13% (0.052 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 39.63%

How you voted: Almeria vs Villarreal

Almeria
7.4%
Draw
14.8%
Villarreal
77.8%
54
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 5
Villarreal
2-1
Almeria
Moreno (45+5'), Sorloth (90+4')
Capoue (26'), Pino (90+2')
Akieme (44')
Embarba (53'), Chumi (84'), Puigmal (89')
Mar 4, 2023 3.15pm
Oct 23, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 11
Villarreal
2-1
Almeria
Baena (56'), Jackson (90+4')
Melero (31')
Dec 5, 2018 7.30pm
Round of 32
Villarreal
8-0
Almeria
Toko Ekambi (23', 30', 36', 47'), Bacca (45', 83' pen.), Moreno (67'), Raba (89')

Castellano (40'), Arzura (81')
Nov 1, 2018 5.30pm
Round of 32
Almeria
3-3
Villarreal
Chema (52' pen.), Gassama (86', 90')
Trujillo (43'), Brice Eteki (90')
Cazorla (67'), Callejon (78' og.), Chukwueze (83')
Gaspar (49')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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