Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 48.25%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 26.72% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Barcelona in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Barcelona.