Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 44.5%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 27.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.97%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.05%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Valencia | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
44.5% ( -0.36) | 28.43% ( 0.08) | 27.07% ( 0.28) |
Both teams to score 43.85% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.16% ( -0.13) | 61.84% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.38% ( -0.09) | 81.62% ( 0.1) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.27% ( -0.25) | 27.73% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.7% ( -0.32) | 63.3% ( 0.32) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.68% ( 0.17) | 39.32% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.98% ( 0.16) | 76.02% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Valencia | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 13.98% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.71% Total : 44.49% | 1-1 @ 13.05% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.9% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.91% ( -0) Other @ 0.56% Total : 28.42% | 0-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.46% Total : 27.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 38 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 31 | 11 | 20 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 33 |
5 | Villarreal | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Mallorca | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 27 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 25 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 21 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 11 |
> La Liga Full Table |