Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sibenik win with a probability of 76.51%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for GOSK Gabela had a probability of 8.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sibenik win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.4%) and 3-0 (11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.33%), while for a GOSK Gabela win it was 0-1 (3.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sibenik would win this match.