Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 57.2%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Boston United had a probability of 19.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Boston United win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sutton United | Draw | Boston United |
57.2% ( -0.06) | 22.87% ( 0.04) | 19.93% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 52.03% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.74% ( -0.16) | 47.26% ( 0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.52% ( -0.15) | 69.49% ( 0.15) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.73% ( -0.08) | 16.28% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.18% ( -0.14) | 45.83% ( 0.14) |
Boston United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.15% ( -0.08) | 37.85% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.37% ( -0.08) | 74.63% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Sutton United | Draw | Boston United |
1-0 @ 11.18% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 10.15% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.71% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.18% Total : 57.19% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.86% | 0-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.28% 0-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.56% Total : 19.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 13 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 30 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 27 |
3 | York City | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 26 |
4 | Gateshead | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 26 |
5 | Rochdale | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 24 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Eastleigh | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 21 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 19 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 18 |
11 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 18 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 17 |
14 | Tamworth | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 17 |
15 | Woking | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 16 |
16 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 16 |
17 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 14 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 14 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 14 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 13 |
21 | Fylde | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 12 |
22 | Boston UnitedBoston | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 9 |
23 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 8 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 6 |
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