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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
Result | ||
Barnsley | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
40.94% ( -0.43) | 25.39% ( -0.21) | 33.66% ( 0.63) |
Both teams to score 55.88% ( 0.88) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.13% ( 1.07) | 47.87% ( -1.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.95% ( 0.97) | 70.05% ( -0.97) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.79% ( 0.25) | 23.21% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.89% ( 0.37) | 57.11% ( -0.37) |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.77% ( 0.91) | 27.23% ( -0.91) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.35% ( 1.17) | 62.65% ( -1.18) |
Score Analysis |
Barnsley | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
1-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.34) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.1% Total : 40.94% | 1-1 @ 12% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.07) Other @ 3% Total : 33.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 22 |
2 | Wrexham | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 20 |
3 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
4 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 18 |
5 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 17 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 16 |
7 | Exeter CityExeter | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 16 |
9 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 15 |
10 | Blackpool | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 15 |
11 | Barnsley | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
12 | Stevenage | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 14 |
13 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 14 |
14 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 14 |
15 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
16 | Reading | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 13 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 13 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 13 |
19 | Leyton Orient | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 8 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 7 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 5 |
23 | Burton Albion | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |