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League One
Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Peterborough United

Bristol Rovers
0 - 2
Peterborough


Thomas (45+2'), Hoole (69')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Randall (41'), Jade-Jones (90+5')
Knight (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-0 Cambridge
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One

Peterborough United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Peterborough 4-1 Fleetwood
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Peterborough United

 This fixture has been dominated by Peterborough in recent seasons, winning 10 and losing just one of the previous 17 encounters between the two sides. With Bristol Rovers having little left to play for, sitting securely in mid-table, and the visitors battling for promotion, we believe Ferguson's side will come out victorious. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 55.18%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 22.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.75%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 (5.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawPeterborough United
22.44% (-0.315 -0.32) 22.38% (-0.19 -0.19) 55.18% (0.508 0.51)
Both teams to score 57.37% (0.224 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.04% (0.495 0.5)41.96% (-0.491 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.63% (0.495 0.5)64.37% (-0.492 -0.49)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)32.42% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.06% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)68.94% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.88% (0.342 0.34)15.11% (-0.339 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.32% (0.642 0.64)43.67% (-0.64 -0.64)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 22.44%
    Peterborough United 55.18%
    Draw 22.37%
Bristol RoversDrawPeterborough United
2-1 @ 5.87% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
1-0 @ 5.52% (-0.124 -0.12)
2-0 @ 3.11% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-1 @ 2.21% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.08% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 1.17% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 22.44%
1-1 @ 10.42% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.9% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.37%
1-2 @ 9.85% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 9.26% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
0-2 @ 8.75% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.21% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
0-3 @ 5.51% (0.074000000000001 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.5% (0.045 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.93% (0.072 0.07)
0-4 @ 2.6% (0.065 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.65% (0.041 0.04)
1-5 @ 1.11% (0.04 0.04)
0-5 @ 0.98% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 55.18%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Peterborough

Bristol Rovers
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
Peterborough United
40.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Peterborough
2-0
Bristol Rovers
Collins (26'), Ajiboye (47')
Collins (15'), Jade-Jones (32'), Knight (54'), Kyprianou (62'), Ajiboye (77')

Evans (56'), Taylor (74')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Peterborough
0-0
Bristol Rovers
> Preview
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 19
Bristol Rovers
1-0
Peterborough
Sinclair (53')
> Preview
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Third Round
Peterborough
2-1
Bristol Rovers
Szmodics (20'), Mumba (63')
Norburn (79')
Coutts (30' pen.)
> Preview
Jan 26, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 26
Peterborough
0-0
Bristol Rovers
Thompson (52'), Beevers (82')
Kilgour (83'), Ogogo (84'), Leahy (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton2511593839-138
10Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
11Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
12Charlton AthleticCharlton249782925434
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Blackpool2571083437-331
15Stevenage248791922-331
16Exeter CityExeter2594122832-431
17Wigan AthleticWigan2486102324-130
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2575134146-526
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
24Burton Albion2529142139-1815
> League One Full Table


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