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League One | Gameweek 44
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Peterborough United

Oxford Utd
5 - 0
Peterborough

Harris (19' pen.), Murphy (31'), Rodrigues (38', 58'), Bodin (89')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Katongo (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Oxford United and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 0-4 Oxford Utd
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One

We said: Oxford United 1-1 Peterborough United

With both sides heading into this clash following handsome victories, we are expecting a hard-fought battle between Oxford and Peterborough as they attempt to keep their promotion aims on track. Posh were able to cruise to the win over Port Vale during the week, meaning that Ferguson's troops should have enough left in the tank to collect a point at the Kassam on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 47.53%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.04%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 2-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawPeterborough United
29.82% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 22.65% (0.073 0.07) 47.53% (-0.165 -0.16)
Both teams to score 63.85% (-0.213 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.33% (-0.306 -0.31)36.67% (0.30399999999999 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.17% (-0.334 -0.33)58.82% (0.332 0.33)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.86% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)24.14% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.55% (-0.139 -0.14)58.44% (0.137 0.14)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.16% (-0.175 -0.17)15.84% (0.173 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.97% (-0.323 -0.32)45.03% (0.322 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 29.82%
    Peterborough United 47.53%
    Draw 22.65%
Oxford UnitedDrawPeterborough United
2-1 @ 7.12% (0.025 0.03)
1-0 @ 5.43% (0.066 0.07)
2-0 @ 3.86% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.83% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.2% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 29.82%
1-1 @ 10.01% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.56% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.82% (0.057 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.91% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 22.65%
1-2 @ 9.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 7.04% (0.063 0.06)
0-2 @ 6.49% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.67% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 4.03% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.61% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.86% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.84% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-5 @ 0.96% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 47.53%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Peterborough

Oxford United
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Peterborough United
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Peterborough
3-0
Oxford Utd
Kyprianou (23'), Jade-Jones (34'), De Havilland (90+2')
Kioso (60')

Bodin (63')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Oxford Utd
1-2
Peterborough
Bodin (52')
Taylor (7'), Poku (31')
Jul 27, 2021 5.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Oxford Utd
0-0
Peterborough
Mar 2, 2021 7pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton2511593839-138
10Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
11Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
12Charlton AthleticCharlton249782925434
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Blackpool2571083437-331
15Stevenage248791922-331
16Exeter CityExeter2594122832-431
17Wigan AthleticWigan2486102324-130
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2575134146-526
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
24Burton Albion2529142139-1815


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